Stablecoins Go Mainstream — The Real Risk Starts Now
Stablecoins Go Mainstream — The Real Risk Starts Now
  • Monica Younsoo Chung
  • Published 2026.01.16 18:07
  • Comments 0
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Stablecoins are back in the headlines, and this time the catalyst is not a crypto-native protocol. Visa has moved to enable stablecoin funding and payouts through Visa Direct, expanding its real-time payout network into “push-to-stablecoin” rails in select markets.

The scale is what makes the signal hard to ignore. Visa Direct is a global payouts platform that has been described as processing about $1.7 trillion in flows, while BVNK positions its stablecoin infrastructure as running roughly $30 billion per year.

Consumer usage data is also starting to look less like an early-adopter niche and more like a mainstream payments behavior. Revolut’s stablecoin payment volumes were estimated to have risen 156% in 2025 to about $10.5 billion, suggesting a growing share of everyday transfers are already using dollar-linked tokens as a settlement rail.

This shift is unfolding as regulators move from debate to implementation. In the U.S., the GENIUS Act was signed into law on July 18, 2025, creating a federal framework for payment stablecoins and pushing issuers toward licensing, reserve standards, and compliance expectations.

At the same time, Congress is still actively negotiating market-structure rules that could shape how stablecoins are distributed and marketed. A Senate draft unveiled in January 2026 would restrict “interest” paid simply for holding stablecoins, while allowing activity-based rewards with required disclosures overseen jointly by the SEC and CFTC.

The infrastructure story is advancing faster than the design debate is settling. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has warned that decentralized stablecoins still face unresolved structural issues, including how they track benchmarks, manage oracle risk, and compete with staking-driven yields.

Julian Sawyer, CEO of Zodia Custody.
Julian Sawyer, CEO of Zodia Custody.

 

Julian Sawyer, CEO of Zodia Custody, argues that regulation is now doing the opposite of what critics fear. “Much of the current debate suggests that tighter U.S. and EU rule-making will dampen stablecoin innovation. I think the opposite is true,” he said, pointing to regulatory predictability as the missing ingredient for institutional-scale deployment.

Sawyer’s core claim is that stablecoins have already moved into real financial plumbing. “Stablecoins are now embedded in core financial workflows, from delivery-versus-payment structures to tokenised collateral,” he said, describing them less as a crypto product and more as a settlement layer that other markets can plug into.

The risk, in his view, is not adoption — it is fragmentation. Sawyer warns the market is splitting into regulated, “bank-grade” tokens on one side and offshore alternatives on the other, a divide that could separate liquidity pools and create spillover risks when stress hits the weaker perimeter.

That split matters because stablecoins function as the base currency of on-chain markets. If institutions can only interact with a subset of “approved” tokens, DeFi liquidity could become incompatible across venues, raising slippage, reducing capital efficiency, and making crises harder to contain when redemptions accelerate.

This is why the next phase may be less about growth headlines and more about operational standards. Sawyer argues DeFi can only scale responsibly if stablecoin rails are anchored to institutional-grade requirements for custody, transparency, and risk management — the same controls that traditional finance uses to prevent small cracks from becoming systemic events.

In other words, stablecoins going mainstream is not the finish line. It is the point where the industry stops being judged by innovation speed and starts being judged by how it handles stress, compliance, and contagion across the boundary between regulated and offshore money.


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